NORTH TEXAS — The system is nearing its destination and is positioned just northwest of the metropolitan area on Sunday evening.
Shower and storm activity has slowly decreased along the leading edge, as anticipated with the fading daytime heating and instability. Nevertheless, an incoming “impulse” in the jet stream is likely to sustain some showers and storms along the front as it progresses. Expect some possibilities this evening, but they will slowly diminish as we move into the morning.
By Monday afternoon, temperatures are expected to show a clear improvement, although some lingering humidity will remain, particularly in the southern and eastern regions.
The latest developments in the tropical regions are capturing attention.
The National Hurricane Center has raised the chances of development for Invest 97L to 50% by Tuesday and 80% over the following week. It seems increasingly likely that “Helene” will make its way into the Gulf by the end of this week, potentially as a Tropical Storm.
A hurricane is definitely on the horizon, but much will depend on its path as it moves into the southern Gulf, where buoy readings remain notably high. The forecast models are consistently indicating a movement towards the east, heading in the direction of Florida.
This week begins with a significant upper-level trough extending south from Canada, which may have interactions with Helene emerging from the Gulf later in the week. The latest model forecasts indicate an active upper-level interaction between the two systems, leading to an extended period of unsettled weather across the southern plains and the southeastern United States.
This is fantastic information, as it allows for chances of rain to remain, with cooler and drier air possibly moving in from the north by the weekend ahead.
The initial weekend is expected to feature a northerly breeze across the metroplex, ushering in drier conditions and refreshing mornings, with daytime temperatures peaking in the low 80s, gradually rising to the upper 80s by Sunday. Decent enough.