If New Jersey voters really like Trump and Vance more than Harris and Walz, they have a funny way of showing it in the numbers! Here’s the lowdown:
In a head-to-head matchup, a poll from ActiVote conducted between September 4 and October 2, 2024, showed that 56% of likely voters in New Jersey would pick Kamala Harris, while only 44% would choose Donald Trump.
So, despite the headline drama, Harris actually has a 12-point lead over Trump. You could almost hear the dramatic plot twist music right there.
But let’s dig into the favorability ratings for a second. In a Stockton University poll conducted at the end of September, Trump wasn’t exactly getting love letters. 54% of respondents viewed him unfavorably, while only 43% had a favorable opinion, giving him a net -11 favorability rating. Meanwhile, Harris didn’t fare too much better—just 50% gave her a thumbs up while 48% hit her with the side-eye. Still, she ends up with a tiny +2 advantage.
Now, over to the wild card pair of J.D. Vance and Tim Walz, who got thrown into the Jersey ring. Vance seemed to have it rough—50% of respondents saw him in a negative light, compared to just 34% with a favorable view. Even more damning? A significant 16% weren’t sure what to think. Walz, on the other hand, had a slightly better vibe, with 44% favorability against 36% unfavorability, leaving a pretty large chunk (20%) of voters scratching their heads.
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So, to wrap this up: Harris is holding down New Jersey against Trump in a straight-up matchup, and when it comes to favorability, the numbers say voters aren’t exactly throwing a parade for either Trump or Vance. They seem to be willing to give Harris and Walz the benefit of the doubt, but it’s clear the race for hearts and minds is still wide open!
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